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India
Telecom
January 29, 2003
Star Wars: shooting stars run amuck
Its
not the end of the world when you cant say hi
to your Reliance girlfriend, dash off an SMS to your
principals in Germany, or simply give your granny a
welcome morning call on her landline. No, but
it certainly appears like that to frustrated customers
who were consistently wooed into becoming mobile addicts.
It
may sound painfully simplistic to say that it is the
right of every paid up customer to be connected, and
the duty of service providers to connect, and such is
the expectation of the 50-million telecom customers
in India. Mahajan expects the figure to double by the
end of the year, and then double again the following
year, and so on. Is this a vision or a pipe dream, given
the present unrest?
Instead
of the buzz of Star Wars we have more a case of a civil
war. We have an assortment of building blocks within
the telecom system: Private firms, MTNL/BSNL, GSM, WLL
and what you will. Each is willing to snatch market
share yet none can do it alone. Each one is a giant
in its own right, a massive building block, but totally
unstable without a plasterer.
Unless
the wide differential in tariffs and access charges
is sorted out the bonding will never be smooth. The
GSM operators had hoped to make a statement by blocking
the WLL connections. Then there was the case of BSNL/MTNL
blocking the service to cellular operators. Sadly, this
is a shooting star battle that can be played with devastating
impact. The very structure can collapse, or very nearly
collapse, as we have seen. Who then will be the necessary
plasterer to cement these disparate bricks and rocks
into a functioning whole? Is it the TRAI? Or a sensible
Think Tank? Or Minister Pramod Mahajan?
We
could attempt a new-look TRAI, boost it with Government
trust and strong teeth, so that it is not prone to be
challenged from every quarter like cellular operators
hollering that they pay access charges through the PSTN
while WLL does not*. A modest reply, that the differential
in income was factored, puts it on the back foot and
the herd stamps aggressively around it. We must have
foresight to anticipate that since mobility is allowed
on the WLL service platform, it would be futile to differentiate
between mobile WLL, and cellular services by building
a boundary wall around WLL! Wise judgments from a powerful,
respected body are needed, and not the Supreme Court
or TDSAT as the end game for each strife. How about
sensible beginnings?
Perhaps
a starting point could be a recommendatory forum, where
the minister and the operators can meet and discuss
policy measures. This is especially important in a competitive
multi-operator environment where players are using rival
technologies, and demanding the abolition of sectoral
licensing. No need to block. If things get pear-shaped
the government could always cancel specific services
within the larger license.
Then
there is the question of growth, the vision of Mahajan.
The industry needs an investment of over Rs. 1668 billion
in the next five years. If it gets contentious, it instantly
becomes a bad bet. Pramod Mahajan humorously
talked about a futuristic scenario where a patient could
plonk a mobile against his heart, and seeks his doctors
advice. To us the heartbeat SMS of the industry is loud
and clear: Speed up Consensus. Forget not the Consumer.
Postscript:
At the time of going to print, WLL operators have also
been instructed to pay access charges.
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