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Asia Pacific Watch

May 21, 2004
APAC networking market to grow 9 percent in 2004

SINGAPORE -- According to the latest results from IDC's quarterly LAN Tracker, the 2003 networking market in the Asia Pacific region (excluding Japan) reached US $3.5billion, representing a 5 percent annual increase. While the rebound was led by the telecom sector's expansion in several developing countries, a more robust recovery was hampered by unfavorable external factors such as the SARS outbreak and the Iraq war in the first half of 2003. Overall, IDC remains positive about the market as the economy continues to recover, and forecasts a 9 percent growth in 2004 year-on-year (YoY) for the total networking market (hub, switch, router and NIC combined).

Rachel Lo, research manager, networking, IDC, said: "The telecom sector was a significant contributor to the switching and routing market. Operators in developing markets like India, Malaysia and Thailand had invested heavily in their core network backbone during the year, while spending from telecom incumbents in Korea and Taiwan remained strong. Besides spending on gigabit/terabit routers and modular switches at the network core, operators spent considerable amount on fixed port Layer 2 switches for their metro Ethernet deployments."

Leading the growth in 2003 were countries such as India, Malaysia and Australia where YoY expansions exceeded 20 percent in each country. India marked an excellent 2003 as telecom service providers continued with their rapid nationwide infrastructure expansion plans, while other sectors, such as services, manufacturing and finance, also displayed strong demand. Growth in Malaysia was driven by a series of large telecom projects as well as government initiatives. In Australia, large-scale metro Ethernet deployment buoyed growth as well as IP telephony uptake. China, Hong Kong, the Philippines and Singapore were the hardest hit markets in the region, recording two consecutive years of total revenue declines since 2002.

While the telecoms sector contributed to the majority of switch and router revenues for the second half of 2003, the government and finance sectors further fuelled growth. E-government initiatives in India, China and Thailand, where efforts were made to link different ministries and government departments, also boosted demand. The finance sector continued to gain momentum, with core banking network upgrade projects found in India, Thailand and Indonesia during the year as well as infrastructure investment to link up branch offices in major cities.

IDC expects the uptake of high-end solutions to propel the networking market going forward. In the routing space, the continuous investment on backbone networks and IPv6 initiatives (especially from Korea) will lead the growth of gigabit/terabit routing revenue. In 2008, the total routing market revenue is likely to reach US $1.9 billion with gigabit/terabit routing making up 41 percent of this total.

In the switching space, growth is expected to come from Layer 2 to Layer 3-7 switching migration, as well as gigabit Ethernet (including 10 Gigabit) uptake. The total switching revenue is likely to reach US $3.4 billion by 2008, of which 50 percent will be derived from gigabit Ethernet revenue.

Contact:
IDC

elng@idc.com
www.idc.com.sg

 



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