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ITU
Telecom World 2003
October
17, 2003
Think the Unthinkable!
GENEVA
-- "A dysfunctional industry. That's what the
telecom industry is today, said Dr. Norman Lewis,
director of Technology Research at Wanadoo UK.
Lewis's comments kicked off the "What Business
Models Work" session, a high-level debate organised
by the ITU at TELECOM WORLD 2003, as part of its forum
programme. Speakers included Takeshi Natsuno, managing
director, NTT DoCoMo; Colleen Arnold, general manager,
IBM; Romain Bausch, CEO of SES Global, and Peter Barnes,
CEO of the Canadian Wireless Telecommunications Association.
"We have deep structural problems," said
Lewis, breaking down the elements of the telecom industry
into vertical chunks of appliances, access and content
and applications.
"Each silo focuses on its own narrow slice,"
he explained, which trigger "deep coordination
problems." With road mapping planned by different
people, he said, key industry elements like processes
and users fall between the cracks. He proposed a more
horizontal approach.
He added: "There's an inherent disjuncture between
investment and return-on-investment. That leads to
an enormous amount of risk, uncertainty and a silo
mentality. Placing the customer at the center is threatened
by a number of barriers that suggest failure rather
than success. Everybody wants answers."
Takeshi Natsuno provided some fresh answers in his
animated presentation on the company's i-Mode strategy
that captivated the audience. He urged the industry
to think outside the box to find ways to bridge the
Internet and non-Internet world through services that
the average man on the street would find useful and
to look at content as the cornerstone of a company's
strategy when launching new services. Four years ago
nobody listened to me; you said Japan was a small
island country. We don't need perfect methods, since
we can remember how imperfect methods fail. Focus
on naturally good technology and business models for
the market, customer and partner. We need to move
to a non-telecom way of thinking."
He added: "The best business models are for content
providers, not for carriers or wireless vendors. i-Mode
is a value chain co-ordination with each layer provided
by different vendors. We need to synchronise the evolution
of technology with speed and content delivery."
Enter IBM through Colleen Arnold, general manager
of the company's Global Communications Sector. Arnold's
presentation focused on the "on-demand"
model that customers want now, a fee-per-use service
with a variable cost structure that allows them to
turn on and off the services tap as required.
She said: "Such a shift in mindset, management
and resource allocation can only be made with high
commitment from the top. For the next ten years, we
need to drive productivity and efficiency in our commodity
areas, and develop new innovative solutions that customers
are asking for in an on-demand model."
She added that customers chasing new trends need to
react rapidly, without interruption and want dynamic
service provision for spikes.
To achieve such a radical transformation in mindset,
she suggested "flipping the business," much
as IBM did, with its now-commoditised computer business,
to find out where costs can be driven out and new
on-demand services added. "Those savings will
then fund and fuel investment areas. There's a lot
of money spent for maintenance of the old system.
We should not be a commodity, focusing only on being
cost-effective," she said.
She stressed the importance of collaboration. "With
our combined strengths we can deliver on a per usage
basis. We'll all deliver on the pieces we're best
at, in areas such as voice, video, storage, networks
and broadband-on-demand."
Panelists also shared some wise insight. Among them,
Peter Barnes, CEO of the Canadian Wireless Telecommunications
Association, highlighted "co-optation",
or the marriage of co-operation and competition.
"Because for cooptation to work you need to talk
to people you love to hate daily, you need top management's
commitment to the concept," he said. Barnes also
underscored the importance of collaborating in a "trust
zone" - neutral areas that facilitate co-operation,
like industry associations. Rising to the challenge
of working with our rivals to sort out larger sectoral
issues will ultimately widen the market and increase
the opportunity for everyone, he said.
"PDAs and voicemail are not terribly intuitive,"
he said. "Using them should be as easy as driving
someone else's car. The simplicity and transparency
of this act needs to be translated to customers."
Barnes used the examples of unifying SMS in Canada
across an alphabet soup of mobile phone standards,
and current efforts to do the same with Wi-Fi and
3G phones so that those wanting to use the wireless
Internet from laptops or handsets no longer have to
wade down a complex protocol path.
"We unlocked more value through cooperation among
competing carriers because we made the market bigger,"
Barnes said. "Canada's SMS grew 250 percent in
just over a year."
The satellite industry perspective was supplied by
SES Global's Romain Bausch who stressed focusing on
one's core business and learning from others' failures
-- in case of satellite, Iridium and Globalstar. Sprint's
Christian Moeller emphasised the need to work off
the same interoperable IP platform.
He said: "We recognise that the application layer
on the technology side needs to converge with the
network. That allows applications to be distributed
and drive off interoperability and standards."
Moeller pointed to the evolution of new business models
in other industries, like the railway and container
businesses as guides as to how things may evolve and
the time it may take for the telecom industry to settle
on the ideal business model.
He added. "It will take time for us to find the
best business models and partnerships. Looking at
other industries it's not hard to imagine that the
best is still ahead. We need to open our minds to
new ways,"
The session closed with a question about how to take
that first terrifying step forward to adjust the business
model to meet new challenges. Natsuno stressed the
freedom to choose that we all have today, adding that
small successes that naysayers initially doubt will
lead to larger successes and that action of any sort
is important. He also emphasised repositioning oneself
in the business ecosystem.
Arnold underscored the need for top management commitment
to change, a mindset shift that will ripple through
the entire organisation. "You need to get alignment
on what you're going to do," she said, highlighting
initial internal resistance to IBM's new Linux push
on worries that it might cannibalise its server business.
Barnes highlighted the importance of a regulatory,
policy and legislative environment that will support
such a shift in a flexible framework.
Lewis added: "I urge you to think the unthinkable.
We are on the cusp of a significant change. i-mode
unsettled everything."
Contact:
ITU
www.itu.int
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Colleen
Arnold, General Manager, IBM.

Romain Bausch, CEO of SES Global.
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